Client Portfolio Simulation (What-If)
A late-cycle credit repricing widens IG 100bps and HY 300bps with the CDS indices leading; CS01 books take the brunt.
Worst-case P&L
$-43,203,200
across subjects
VaR uplift
$9,750,000
1-day 99%
Hedges suggested
3
to neutralise
Subjects hit
2
desks / portfolios
P&L impact by risk factor — CREDIT
Credit Spreads +100bps · worst factor: Hy cs bps
Damage heatmap
Absolute P&L impact by subject × risk factor
Proposed hedges
| Instrument | Action | Notional | Subject | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | $69K | CREDIT | Worst factor hy_cs_bps drove 20,700,000.00 of loss; 69,000.00 of INTEREST_RATE_SWAP offsets it at the scenario shock of 300. |
| — | — | $35K | CREDIT | Tail overlay on secondary factor cdx_ig_bps (8,280,000.00 of loss); a half-sized position caps the residual. |
| CDX IG 5Y | Buy protection | $400M | CREDIT | Buy index protection to cover the CS01 tail at cycle-tight spreads. |